Episode Transcript
[00:00:07] Speaker A: Welcome back to Split decision. This week on Episode 21, we're going to recap UFC Sao Paulo from this past weekend. Then we're going to preview UFC 295, Prohaska versus Pereira for the light heavyweight title. From there, we'll draft our top five Madison Square Garden events, and we'll cover our favorite football games from across college and the NFL. And finally, we'll jump into stakes and takes our betting segment where we give you our best advice for this week's games. But first, don't forget to like and subscribe, and then head to splitdecisionpod.com, where you'll find all of our recent podcasts, videos, top fives and more. Again, that's splitdecisionpod.com. All right, let's go.
[00:00:55] Speaker B: All right, so UFC Sao PaulO, fight night in Brazil. Kind of an underwhelming card. It was a fight card. We previewed six fights for the fight card. By the time fight night happened and the fights started happening, we were down to four. So two of them got canceled. One because of weight the day before, one because of a mysterious sickness backstage.
[00:01:18] Speaker A: The day of Russian poisoning.
[00:01:21] Speaker B: I don't know what happened. Very weird. But the main event, Almeda Lewis, it was kind of underwhelming, too. Almeda dominated the win. You got the unanimous decision. Win. Very surprising that it went the distance. I think going the distance was like plus 1200 pre fight, something like that.
[00:01:38] Speaker A: Yeah, it's pretty crazy.
[00:01:40] Speaker B: I think everybody thought it was either going to be a quick Almita on the ground finish or Derek Lewis is going to catch him. Instead, it was Almita just keeping him on the ground, not being able to choke him out. Props to D Lewis for not getting choked out. He had enough defense for that, but.
[00:01:56] Speaker A: Not enough defense to stay off the.
[00:01:58] Speaker B: Ground now that he couldn't defend the takedown. And then he got up a couple of times, but I think it was something like 22 minutes of ground control time for Almita in the fight. No, 25 minutes fight.
[00:02:08] Speaker A: Yeah, it's absolutely crazy.
Amida landed six out of 15 takedowns, which.
That's crazy.
[00:02:17] Speaker B: That sounds better than he actualLy.
[00:02:18] Speaker A: Than it looked like, for sure.
[00:02:20] Speaker B: Than it looked like for Lewis.
[00:02:22] Speaker A: Right. Because it looked like he was on the ground the entire fight.
[00:02:24] Speaker B: Because he was on the ground the entire fight.
[00:02:26] Speaker A: Correct.
I think he struck at almost 80% accuracy. So Almeda, that was. And then Almeida was only hit like 40 times in the whole fight. It's pretty crazy. It was definitely one sided. Lackluster, but it was lackluster but it.
[00:02:43] Speaker B: Kept you interested because you knew if he somehow got to the feet and Derek Lou is connected, he was out because he hit him a couple of times and had a couple, like three, four second moments. You're like, oh, Derek Lewis. And then Almita would just bring him back to the threat was always there.
[00:03:00] Speaker A: One of the things coming in, I thought that was going to play a way bigger role than it did was the weight difference. I mean, this dude comes in weighing at 236 pounds, not cutting weight anything, and he's just rag dolling heavyweights, where Derek Lewis came in at 265, right on the button, and he couldn't get up with Almeida just laying on top of him for the entire fight. It was an absolute dominant showing. What do you think's next for Jolton Almeida?
[00:03:30] Speaker B: Well, I think he's called out Cyril gone. He called out Celebran. I would love to see that fight. Problem is, Cyril gone.
The last time Aspinall called him out, he was like, I'm only taking the title shot next, blah, blah, blah. I doubt he would go down and fight a dude that could take him down, have that kind of matchup problem for him. I would like to see that fight, though. I think Almeidas, for real, his ground game is so good, and he can knock some guys out, too.
I don't think it's a title shot next. Maybe he gets the loser of the fight this weekend between Aspinal Pavlovich. Pavlovich.
[00:04:02] Speaker A: I was thinking maybe even tied to Ivasa, but that would give him a.
[00:04:05] Speaker B: Similar show to Curtis Blades out there. Maybe because Curtis Blades has wrestling. So be interesting.
[00:04:10] Speaker A: I think Curtis Blades has a fight coming up. The other option, another Sergey, Sergey Spivak. If we want to go, like, wrestler against wrestler.
[00:04:18] Speaker B: Yeah, that would be one I would watch. I think he's definitely, he moves up the ladder in heavyweight, but he's probably still a fighter to a win or two away from.
[00:04:26] Speaker A: I think he needs to fight another wrestler, though. I think he needs to be challenged. Not with Derek Lewis, where we kind of knew the game plan coming in. It's knockout or bust.
[00:04:36] Speaker B: This was just two totally different styles, right.
[00:04:39] Speaker A: I think we need a similar style to see if Almeida can hang with.
[00:04:42] Speaker B: Somebody, if he's an elite title contender.
[00:04:44] Speaker A: 40 pounds heavier than him, because I still think against the right opponent, that's going to be a very big disadvantage to Almeida.
[00:04:51] Speaker B: Yeah, but the point they always bring up is the last great heavyweight to be undersized. Like, that was steepe, and he's like, arguably the greatest heavyweight of all time. That's true. Steepe was only like, 235, 240.
[00:05:05] Speaker A: Yeah, well, look, the comain, if the heavyweight was lackluster, the comaine was an electric performance. It left everybody speechless. I'm sure it left you speechless.
[00:05:15] Speaker B: Left me speechless. It was surprising, too.
[00:05:18] Speaker A: I think both Bonfam brothers came know.
[00:05:21] Speaker B: I mean, a lot of hype.
[00:05:22] Speaker A: One loss to start their career, but both second fights in the UFC was great rebounds.
[00:05:27] Speaker B: Fighting in Brazil, right?
[00:05:29] Speaker A: Fighting on their home turf in Brazil. Ismail Bonfim was canceled due to a weight miss the day before.
And then Gabriel, his older brother, undefeated, coming in and got completely well.
[00:05:42] Speaker B: I think he won the first round, but he ran out of gas.
[00:05:48] Speaker A: It seemed like he hit a wall.
[00:05:49] Speaker B: He hit a wall. People online were trying to say. It seemed like he kind of quit. I don't think he quit.
[00:05:54] Speaker A: I think he might have gotten a hit. I mean, it was less than 30 seconds left in the round. If you're going to quit, you're not quitting, then you're quitting in the beginning of the round. If you see, like, oh, we've been out here for a while, can't be that much time left. You're going to give it your all to stay awake then, or to stay alive.
[00:06:10] Speaker B: You never know. But I don't think he quit. I don'T think it was Dalby's performance. Very impressive performance by Dalby. I think we both talked about. I think you picked Dalby.
[00:06:18] Speaker A: I didn't, but I said, no, I picked Bonfim. I lost that one.
[00:06:23] Speaker B: But we talked about Dalby. We both picked Bonfim. But Dalby was definitely capable and he was definitely dangerous, and he proved that.
[00:06:31] Speaker A: Right Dolby. Look, and being a doubter in Dolby on this one, I think it wasn't anything against Nicholas Dolby. It was more with how the money line looked. It was a -500 favorite for Jeff Bond. It leaned heavily.
[00:06:46] Speaker B: Suspicious how crazy that money line was even coming in. It was a pretty even fight.
[00:06:53] Speaker A: Right?
But look, with that win, Dolby improved a six one and one in the UFC. So a very impressive outing. I don't think we're going to doubt him again. He called out a top 15 opponent. Not anyone specific, but he just asked the UFC for a top 15 in the welterweight division.
[00:07:08] Speaker B: I think he deserves one.
[00:07:09] Speaker A: I think maybe with Renat's draw, Renat Fakridanov's draw against Zelesky Dosantos, I think he would be a good option. I think another good option would be either Neil Magny or Kevin Holland, both of them fought recently, so they could always be kind of in line to fight again.
[00:07:28] Speaker B: Yeah. I feel like you always throw those two guys at somebody to be like.
[00:07:33] Speaker A: Are you top 15 worthy, or are you pecking ground worthy?
[00:07:36] Speaker B: Exactly.
[00:07:37] Speaker A: They're the two gatekeepers of the welterweight division. It's pretty sick. So what do you think, outside of those two, anybody else other than Ren?
[00:07:44] Speaker B: No, I like those two picks. I think definitely a top 15 guy. I would say any guy ranked from, like, eleven to 15, he's not a top ten guy yet. He probably needs a couple of wins from that. So nobody like Ian, Gary, or anything like that.
Think top 15.
[00:08:01] Speaker A: Cool.
[00:08:02] Speaker B: So the next fight was Nasamito versus Maze.
[00:08:05] Speaker A: I'd say a better heavyweight fight overall on this card anymore. More competitive, you would say, at least better to watch.
[00:08:11] Speaker B: Was this unanimous or a split decision?
[00:08:14] Speaker A: It was a unanimous decision.
[00:08:16] Speaker B: Unanimous decision by Nasamito. I mean, this was another one that was two totally different styles going against each other. One guy obviously better on the ground. One guy proved to be better on the feet. It seemed like Maze was a little bit better. He struck him a little bit more, landed a little bit more. But Nasamito's ground game was just. Maze couldn't handle it.
[00:08:34] Speaker A: Yeah, I think that third round push from Maze is what kind of edged the scorecards up to his favor from being a 30, 27 across all 327.
Right. I mean, outside of that third round, it was more of a dominant performance by Nasimento. Or maybe not dominant Bort, but a more clean, striking performance from Nasimento.
[00:08:57] Speaker B: We'll put it this way. Nobody's arguing that May should have won. It was clear that Nasamito was the winner, correct?
[00:09:03] Speaker A: Yeah, it was a good judge fight through and through.
Look, this is exciting, because even with John Jones out with the torn peck, it's showing you that the hype in the heavyweight division isn't just in the top ten, top 15. It's deeper in the division.
[00:09:19] Speaker B: It's probably the deepest the heavyweight division has ever been. Usually there's only, like, four or five legit guys, right?
[00:09:24] Speaker A: And the heavyweight division, to me, it looks like it's starting to heat up. I'll ask like I have been. What do you think's next for Rodrigo Nasimento?
[00:09:33] Speaker B: You know, this is a tough one. I don't know if he's fighting a ranked guy next. I could see it again, like a lower ranked guy, right?
[00:09:41] Speaker A: I picked a couple. I picked maybe like an Alexander Romanov. He has the schedule open for it. That would probably be the highest ranked guy I think he could fight at the moment.
[00:09:49] Speaker B: What's he ranked right now?
[00:09:50] Speaker A: He's like eleven or twelve.
[00:09:52] Speaker B: Yes. I think that's if he's going to fight somebody ranked, maybe even a gyro.
[00:09:56] Speaker A: Rosenstruck.
[00:09:58] Speaker B: Rosenstruck.
[00:09:59] Speaker A: He's a 15 or 14 ranked top or in the top 15. He begged Dana for a top 15 fight before because NASA Mento's last fight is his next fight on his UFC contract. So he's kind of in that proving ground moment. He got a win over Dante Maze, but he wants the top 15 opponent to show the UFC that he deserves Another contract. So I'd definitely be down for a top 15 for him. I'd watch it. So after initial slow start to the fight, Cal Baraljo really found his rhythm and started to kind of heavy maintain the control in the third round. I think that decided the entirety of the fight, giving him the strong edge.
[00:10:41] Speaker B: Abbas Magomedov. Right?
[00:10:43] Speaker A: Right. Cal Barraljo versus Abbas Magomedov.
It was a good fight. It wasn't the strongest performance from Magomedov that we have seen before.
[00:10:55] Speaker B: But, I mean, what is he, one and two in the UFC now? So, I mean, he's only. We haven't seen him that just.
[00:11:00] Speaker A: I feel like he's done better. Especially because the last loss was know decision. Loss.
[00:11:05] Speaker B: No, his last loss was.
[00:11:06] Speaker A: Oh, it was a knockout.
[00:11:07] Speaker B: You're right. He got dominated by.
[00:11:09] Speaker A: You're right, Sean. It was a good performance by cow at the end of the fight. How'd you see it?
[00:11:16] Speaker B: I think it was a clear unanimous decision. Win for cow.
I think 30 27 was one judge. And then he had 229 28, right?
[00:11:26] Speaker A: Yeah, he almost secured a take submission or he tried for a few submissions. Almost got the arm bar.
[00:11:31] Speaker B: I had it 30 27. I think he won every round.
I think it was a lot like the last fight where you watch that and nobody is legitimately arguing that didn't win the fight.
[00:11:43] Speaker A: My only problem is I picked Abbas pre fight. So now then kind of going and watching the fight, I watched it with an Abbas lens, if you will, or an Abbas bias. So I'm not arguing the judges were right. But then it made me agree with the 29 28 at the very least. But who do you think is next for Cal? He called out Drychus, which we got that announcement. Drychus is fighting.
[00:12:06] Speaker B: I mean, there was no way he was going to fight.
[00:12:07] Speaker A: No, he wasn't fighting Drychus anyway. But at least we don't have to worry about it now.
[00:12:11] Speaker B: Yeah. Drake is fighting for the title, so.
[00:12:13] Speaker A: He'S not getting that. Maybe Gustellum, Chris Curtis, Anthony Hernandez. If he gets a top 15 Chris Curtis.
[00:12:22] Speaker B: I wouldn't mind seeing that fight. Yeah.
[00:12:23] Speaker A: I mean, Cal's got that attitude with the kind of shitty tattoos, free spirit across his throat, and then I forget whaT's on his arm, but it's like, just don't die or something like that.
[00:12:35] Speaker B: Yeah. And he was bitching on Twitter after the rankings, updated after his fight that he wasn't ranked. He was calling politics and bullshit. Yeah. So he's a guy. He's got a. He's got a personality.
[00:12:45] Speaker A: Yeah, he's a Brazilian. Colby Covington, at this point in my mind.
[00:12:57] Speaker B: Okay, so this week's top five is going to be top five MSG moments in honor of the UFC returning to Madison Square Garden, New York City this weekend. Always big cards, big atmosphere, great crowd when that happens. So we thought we'd honor that with our top five MGM moments events.
[00:13:16] Speaker A: Feel like we're about to get in a fight.
[00:13:18] Speaker B: It could be because I have a specific interest that I think we'll get into it.
[00:13:24] Speaker A: Yeah, I'm about to exploit you on this one. I'm sorry.
[00:13:27] Speaker B: My number one, though, we do a UFC podcast. I'm going to go. A UFC event, and I'm going to go UFC 205. This is when Conor McGregor became the first person in the UFC history to have two belts at two different weight classes. He beat Eddie Alvarez. It was one of his best performance. It was almost like Peak McGregor MMA.
It's iconic.
Two set. He literally say what you want about him now.
He was the first to do this.
[00:14:00] Speaker A: He was a pioneer for a lot of things in the UFC. He has a legendary left hand.
[00:14:06] Speaker B: It's a very good fight. And Eddie Alvarez is like a legit.
[00:14:11] Speaker A: He was a legit champ.
[00:14:12] Speaker B: He's a legit. I mean, it was just a great win, right?
[00:14:16] Speaker A: Absolutely. That is a very good number one overall.
I like that pick for everything you said for Conor McGregor's legacy, all the good and the bad we've seen of him. But I like that pick because it allows me not to show you my hand at all.
So my number one is going to be the fight of the century. Muhammad Ali versus Joe Fraser.
[00:14:41] Speaker B: One on my list.
[00:14:41] Speaker A: Yeah, I figured.
[00:14:43] Speaker B: Which one? They fought there twice.
[00:14:46] Speaker A: Like 1978. I think it was 71.
[00:14:49] Speaker B: 71 and 74. 71 was the one they dubbed Fight of the Century.
[00:14:53] Speaker A: Well, there was two fights, not Muhammad Ali and Joe Frazier. There were two fights of different boxers that were dubbed Fight of The century.
[00:15:00] Speaker B: Yeah, they do that in football, college football, all the time.
[00:15:03] Speaker A: Game of the century. All right. Yeah. Muhammad Ali, Joe Fraser, Fight of the Century, 1971. Thanks for the year.
But, yeah, it was just great boxing match. It was historic. You got the draft Dodger. Mohammed Ali, Cassius Clay fighting almost, said George Foreman. Joe Fraser at MSG. My number two.
And I'm sorry because I don't have to tell you, actually, I'm not sorry yet. UFC 244 for the BMF. The first BMF title, Mazvidal versus Nate Diaz.
Keeping it in the fight game. It just a very good fight. It was a doctor stoppage win for Masvidal because of a cut over Diaz's eye. But if the doctor wouldn't have stopped that fight, it would have gone on and just continued to be an absolute mean up to that point. It was a great. Was. It was awesome. I think it's a very solid second, you know, locked in Masvidal as the first bad motherfucker.
[00:16:04] Speaker B: The rock put the belt around his.
[00:16:05] Speaker A: Waist and then he put the belt around Gaethje's waist when Gaethje, unfortunately, knocked Porier out.
[00:16:12] Speaker B: Yeah, that's tough. So my number two. That's not a bad. Was that your second one?
[00:16:16] Speaker A: That was my second pick.
[00:16:18] Speaker B: My number two pick is going to be. This is where it starts getting crazy.
[00:16:23] Speaker A: Yeah, maybe.
[00:16:25] Speaker B: My number two is JFK's 45th birthday. It was held at MSG.
It was the iconic moment that they have of Marilyn Monroe singing Happy Birthday, Mr. President. Yeah, she did it at this event.
JFK, a great president. So great, they had to kill him.
Yep.
[00:16:44] Speaker A: We just got canceled.
[00:16:45] Speaker B: I mean, it's an iconic moment.
[00:16:48] Speaker A: Just got a text on my phone. It said, FBI alert. Canceled.
[00:16:51] Speaker B: Iconic moment. JFK, one of the most universally, like, presidents of all time.
The fact that you don't see Biden or Trump having their birthday at Madison Square Garden and, like, stars showing up.
[00:17:05] Speaker A: Right.
[00:17:06] Speaker B: I mean, Obama could probably get away with that.
[00:17:08] Speaker A: I got a birthday on my list that I'm thinking of picking.
[00:17:12] Speaker B: So my number two, JFK's 45th birthday celebration.
[00:17:15] Speaker A: That's a very solid one. I forget about the song.
That would have been one of the most recent things in this MSG. Right? MSG four or five, whatever they're on. Because that would open like, 68.
[00:17:29] Speaker B: Yeah, I believe so.
[00:17:30] Speaker A: So that would have been, like, right after he. Or right before a year or two before he died.
Nice. What's your third pick?
[00:17:38] Speaker B: So my third pick, this is where.
[00:17:40] Speaker A: The rubber meets the road, sir.
[00:17:43] Speaker B: My third pick is going to be one of the best bands of all time. Their first time. Here we go. Touring North America in Madison Square Garden. I'm going 1970, Led Zeppelin. When they played at Madison Square Garden. It's a concert you can buy. They have it filmed. You can buy and watch it. It's amazing.
[00:18:00] Speaker A: You can steal it.
[00:18:01] Speaker B: Can. What do you mean?
[00:18:03] Speaker A: It's on YouTube.
[00:18:04] Speaker B: Oh, yeah. It's on YouTube now.
[00:18:05] Speaker A: But I guess it's not stealing because that pays them.
[00:18:08] Speaker B: It's a great concert. Iconic rock band. Probably the best legitimate rock band of all time.
[00:18:15] Speaker A: Right?
[00:18:16] Speaker B: Like through and of Rock Band.
[00:18:17] Speaker A: Right.
[00:18:17] Speaker B: It doesn't go, like, too hard to.
[00:18:20] Speaker A: Where it's like screaming at you and it's not too soft to where the Beatles, right.
[00:18:25] Speaker B: Quintessential rock band. Led Zeppelin. Their first time in New York City. First time, Madison Square Garden, first time in North America. So that's my number three.
[00:18:33] Speaker A: That's awesome. That's a good number three.
I see your Led Zeppelin.
[00:18:38] Speaker B: I know exactly where you're going now.
[00:18:40] Speaker A: And I'm going to say thank you for showing me this band more recently, actually.
Pink Floyd. June 1977, Madison Square Garden. I think it was the bad muse tour or something like that.
[00:18:58] Speaker B: No, you don't even know that. It's the in the flesh.
[00:19:00] Speaker A: Was that the in the flesh tour?
[00:19:01] Speaker B: In the Flesh Tour, 1977. There you go.
[00:19:04] Speaker A: The in the Flesh tour. My space is small to write down, sir. In the Flesh Tour, 1977. Pink Floyd. Thank you, Christian, for pointing them out to me. Just great band. Yeah. That's my number three. I guess it's time. I got to go to my number four.
I'm going to give it a layup. Hang on to the birthday queue here. Actually, you know what? Never mind. I'm going to go with Kobe Bryant. 61 point game for the Lakers.
It was in MSG. It was his 5th. 61 point game in his career, and he's not with us anymore. Rip Kobe Bryant, 61 point game for my fourth pick.
[00:19:47] Speaker B: Not a bad game. I mean, you can't really hate on Kobe anymore.
[00:19:50] Speaker A: You're not allowed to.
[00:19:52] Speaker B: Not allowed to say.
[00:19:53] Speaker A: It's a good pick.
[00:19:53] Speaker B: It's a good pick.
My number four. I'm going. The 1970 NBA Finals. The iconic Willis Reed getting injured in the Finals, coming back, literally limping back onto the floor, played a pivotal role in the Knicks winning the game, winning the title. 1970.
That's their second most recent title for the New York Knicks. The other one's 1973.
[00:20:18] Speaker A: That's crazy.
[00:20:19] Speaker B: A huge moment. I mean, it's iconic moment, if you follow basketball, of him coming back onto the court after being injured and being the hero for the game.
I think it's something everybody thinks about if they're a sports fan, when they think about MSG, it's one of the iconic moments. That's my number four pick.
[00:20:34] Speaker A: I like that.
What's your number five?
[00:20:38] Speaker B: In my number five pick, I'm going another. I see your Kobe Bryant. I raise you Wayne Gretzky. His final game of the greatest hockey player, no doubt, of all time was when he played for the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden.
I believe it was either 98 or 99.
It's like wherever LeBron's.
[00:21:02] Speaker A: It'll be like a quintessential moment for sports.
[00:21:05] Speaker B: Wherever he last played, it was amplified even more that it was at an arena like Madison Square Garden.
[00:21:10] Speaker A: And I'm sure the greatest player of.
[00:21:12] Speaker B: All time got to play his final game at probably, like the greatest arena in modern times. In modern times, right.
It's, like, poetic, right?
[00:21:21] Speaker A: It's our, our, you know, Acropolis. It's an homage. It's not going away because it was hell to build. Madison Square Garden on top of Penn Station. They actually just referenced that in Mad Men.
[00:21:35] Speaker B: Mad Men, yeah, they're talking about it.
[00:21:37] Speaker A: I guess at the end of last season, they were talking about it. That's a good one.
Wayne Gretzky from the New York Rangers. That's good. My fifth pick.
This is actually one we've seen.
It was in 2021. We saw it live.
Louis CK live at Madison Square Garden. We watched that comedy special at my house.
Very good special.
It was Louis CK back into comedy, uncanceled back into real life. Just let the know, do what he wants to do. He wasn't hurting anybody.
[00:22:16] Speaker B: Yeah, funny comedian. I don't know if I'd have him in this list, but it was a good do.
[00:22:22] Speaker A: He used to do sellout shows at places like MSG all the time and then cancellation. So give him his props. He sold it back out again on his first tour out or first show out at a big thing. So props to Louis CK.
[00:22:37] Speaker B: Yes. I think that kind of wraps up the top five right there.
This was a hard one.
[00:22:43] Speaker A: Yeah, I had a bunch.
[00:22:45] Speaker B: It was hard to narrow it down and to say what is really stands out above the other ones.
[00:22:49] Speaker A: Yeah, I had the. Who had Jimmy?
[00:22:51] Speaker B: I mean, pretty much every major rock band. Not even rock band, but, like, if you're into any kind of music, did.
[00:22:57] Speaker A: Taylor Swift do MSG?
[00:22:59] Speaker B: I'm sure she's doing the football stadium, so she most definitely did MSG.
[00:23:03] Speaker A: I doubt she could sell out MSG.
I'm kidding.
[00:23:08] Speaker B: Place is like three times the size.
[00:23:10] Speaker A: Yeah, if you want to get canceled, that's what you have to do. You have to talk shit on T Swift. We can't do that here.
[00:23:15] Speaker B: So my top five again is number one, UFC 205, McGregor becomes double champ. Number two, JFK's 45th birthday celebration.
[00:23:23] Speaker A: I really like that pick.
[00:23:24] Speaker B: Me, too. Number three, Led Zeppelin's first time in North America. The 1970 Led Zeppelin Tour at MSG. Number four, also 1970, Willis Reed coming back injured in the NBA Finals, helping the Knicks win. And my number five MSG moment event is Wayne Gretzky playing his final game.
[00:23:45] Speaker A: That's awesome. My top five, Mohammed Ali. Joe Fraser. Fight of the Century.
UFC 244, Masvidal versus Nate Diaz for the BMF title. Number three is Pink Floyd. 1977, into the flesh. Tour four, Kobe Bryant's 5th. 61 point game at MSG. And five will be Louis C. K. Live at MSG. First show back.
All right, so now we're going to preview UFC two and 195, Prohaska versus Pereira for the light heavyweight title in.
[00:24:27] Speaker B: The previously mentioned Madison Square Garden.
[00:24:30] Speaker A: Yes. First fight we'Re going to talk about is Diego Lopez versus Pat Sabatini in the featherweight division.
[00:24:37] Speaker B: Diego Lopez may be the best hair tattoo combo UFC.
[00:24:41] Speaker A: Yeah, something like that. He looks like he sings in my chemical romance, but the Brazilian version, or like the Brazilian tribute band to my.
[00:24:51] Speaker B: Chemical Romance, looks like Jimmy Butler.
[00:24:55] Speaker A: Diego Lopez is 22 and six in the UFC, with eight KO victories, twelve submission victories, two decision victories. Only losing two times by Ko and four times by decision. So stopping fights is not his. Or winning fights on the cards is not really his strong suit. It seems taken on Pat Sabatini. 18 and four. Two wins by knockout, eleven by submission, five by decision.
[00:25:19] Speaker B: Is this the first fight we've had where it's two guys we've covered before their fights? It's one of the first.
[00:25:24] Speaker A: Oh, it's like, fight guys? We've both cut? Yeah, I think so. One of the first.
[00:25:27] Speaker B: Yeah.
[00:25:28] Speaker A: 20 episodes, 21 episodes in. We're starting to have duplicates and triplicates. I like it. Pat Sabatini's lost twice by knockout and two times by decision. Diego Lopez is also one in one in the UFC. And like I said before, he loses more often by the decision than he wins. He has six total career decisions. Two of them are wins, four, or losses. So if this fight goes to the cards, I would expect him to lose.
This is a stylistic matchup where it's like two strong ground guys, where Diego Lopez also has a strong striking.
[00:26:04] Speaker B: So, yeah, that's what I thought the difference was. Is two guys great on the ground?
[00:26:09] Speaker A: Yeah, if they go equal there.
[00:26:11] Speaker B: I like both guys a lot, but I think because they're both great on the ground, they might neutralize each other. And I think Lopez's feet, his striking ability is going to be the difference in this fight. I have Lopez winning the fight.
[00:26:24] Speaker A: I actually have the same, I think the exact same with an equal ground game or even if there's a slight edge to one of their ground games, I think the striking from Diego Lopez is going to be the contributing factor to the victory. The next fight, what you got?
[00:26:41] Speaker B: So the next fight, I think it's the first guy we've covered. This will be the third time we've covered him. He was on one of the first fight cards we did.
[00:26:47] Speaker A: Previously mentioned triplicate.
[00:26:49] Speaker B: And for me, at least, he's becoming one of my favorite fighters in the UFC, especially up and coming guys. It's a 27 year old Benoit St Denis taking on a tough opponent, a guy that knocks people out. Matt for Volvola.
[00:27:02] Speaker A: Matt the steamroller, the steam roller.
[00:27:05] Speaker B: He's a good follow on Twitter. He's entertaining. This is an exciting fight.
I'm not going to say it's the most exciting because the main and the co main are gonna be so exciting.
[00:27:16] Speaker A: But those are statements in their own.
[00:27:18] Speaker B: This is a fight I'm looking forward to.
St Denis has the killer ground game for Vola. More of a stand up guy, but both guys can do the other one, too, right?
[00:27:29] Speaker A: You're saying both guys can either get on the ground or knock each other out?
[00:27:33] Speaker B: St Denis can knock people out for Vola can. He's not terrible on the ground.
[00:27:38] Speaker A: Right.
To your point, he's coming off of a knockout win to the Drew Dober.
[00:27:46] Speaker B: Yeah.
[00:27:46] Speaker A: Which is crazy. But he also has three submission victories in his career and he's never been subbed. So it kind of shows you kind of what you're talking about. He's kind of versatile. He can knock you out.
[00:27:56] Speaker B: He can sub you.
[00:27:56] Speaker A: He can defend. Whereas Benoit Saint Denis, he's coming off of, I believe.
[00:28:03] Speaker B: I think he has four or five straight wins.
[00:28:06] Speaker A: He's four and one in the UFC.
[00:28:07] Speaker B: Yeah, and four straight. He lost his first one, I believe.
[00:28:09] Speaker A: Correct.
[00:28:09] Speaker B: Four straight.
[00:28:10] Speaker A: And he's been able to finish, guys. Either way, he's won the two fights.
[00:28:15] Speaker B: We'Ve covered from him, too.
[00:28:16] Speaker A: Absolutely. Three Kos, nine subs. He's only lost one fight by decision in his career, and he has won no contest. I think we're both picking Benoit St. Denis, a god of war.
[00:28:26] Speaker B: Yeah, St. Denis, as I said, becoming one of my favorite fighters, and I'm two and O picking him. I'm trying to be three and o.
[00:28:33] Speaker A: Right. He's becoming our bell Cal, our kind of money maker.
[00:28:37] Speaker B: He's an exciting fighter, too. Like, his fights are exciting. He's going to finishes.
[00:28:41] Speaker A: In all seriousness, though, I think he has what you need to have in the lightweight division, especially right now, being as heavy as it is. You need to have somebody who's versatile, who can knock you out or at least stand strong on the feet and have very good ground game, killer ground to have. You have to be versatile in the entire realm of MMA to be great in the lightweight division.
All right, so the next fight, Mackenzie.
[00:29:08] Speaker B: Dern, another one of our favorite fighters, Jessica Andraj.
[00:29:13] Speaker A: This is do not get on her only fans.
[00:29:18] Speaker B: Andraj coming in, I think three straight losses.
[00:29:21] Speaker A: Three straight losses.
[00:29:22] Speaker B: This is her fifth fight this year.
[00:29:24] Speaker A: It's pretty crazy.
[00:29:25] Speaker B: She won the first one, has lost three straight, and she's taken on.
[00:29:28] Speaker A: She lost three straight by finishes?
[00:29:30] Speaker B: Yeah, all finishes.
[00:29:32] Speaker A: I think it was two submissions and a knockout.
[00:29:34] Speaker B: That's never a good sign. And then she kind of. You don't want to say rush back out there. I think she fought last in August. Right? This is the fifth time you're fighting this year with three straight losses.
[00:29:44] Speaker A: Both fighters since 2021 have lost to Zhao Nanjian, female fighter in the UFC. So not to kind of take anything away from that, but Mackenzie Dern has kind of ridiculous jujitsu coming off.
[00:29:59] Speaker B: She won her last, last fight after the loss to be. This is Mackenzie Dern still kind of ascending her career. We talk about this every week. Somebody's career ascending, or at least on the uprise, taking on Jessica Andraj, where her career former champ. She was great when she was great, but her career definitely seems on the downward slope. I got Dern winning the fight.
[00:30:23] Speaker A: I think when you say it, when we talk about the kind of career trajectories going down, a lot of people think of them as like stocks, where it's.
You're like a graph chart going down. I think of it as like the side by side escalators in the mall where one's going up and one's going down, but you kind of pass each, you know, it's like, ha.
I also picked Dern. I think her Jiu Jitsu is going to cause her to win the fight, probably by decision, to be honest with you.
[00:30:52] Speaker B: All right, so let's move on to the co main event next. And this is.
[00:30:55] Speaker A: These are the mucho and Portanto ones.
[00:30:58] Speaker B: This is for the interim heavyweight belt.
Tom Aspinall taking on Sergey Pablovich. Two guys, maybe two of the two most exciting heavyweight fighters. Tom Aspinal. I mean, you watch this guy fight, especially in his last fight against Tibura.
[00:31:17] Speaker A: Marcine Tibura.
[00:31:18] Speaker B: Yeah. I couldn't get his first name. I still can't get it. But Tibira, he was moving so fast and looked so good on the feet. Like, you couldn't believe he was a heavyweight. He was moving like a lightweight, a featherweight. He's so fluid on the feet. One of the most talented guys. And then he's taking on Pavlovich, who. I mean, this dude destroys people when he.
[00:31:37] Speaker A: Right. I don't want to say he can't wrestle, but he definitely leans on his power to finish fights. He has 15 KO victories, only one loss total.
[00:31:46] Speaker B: And it was by KO against Alastair Overeem.
[00:31:50] Speaker A: And that was when Alistair Oveream was just destroying.
[00:31:53] Speaker B: It was like six or seven fights ago for him. So he's won like five or six since then.
[00:31:57] Speaker A: Right. Aspinal, though, has been completely electric. He's been on this crazy tear.
[00:32:02] Speaker B: I think he's also six and one. And his only loss was the bullshit. He got hurt, like, within.
[00:32:06] Speaker A: He had a knee injury.
[00:32:07] Speaker B: 15 seconds of the fight started and they counted as a loss.
[00:32:10] Speaker A: Yeah. Which I get.
[00:32:11] Speaker B: I get it.
[00:32:12] Speaker A: But it's like, it pisses you off, especially if you have money on him.
[00:32:15] Speaker B: Especially if it's his only loss where it's like, yeah, I mean, come on. Yeah, it sucks, but I love Tom Aspinall. I think he.
Michael Bisbing. I think it's because he's English, but he has the chance to be the greatest heavyweight of all time. I mean, he does have the chance. I guess I wouldn't go that far yet, but I love watching him fight. He's one of the most exciting heavyweights.
[00:32:36] Speaker A: In his generation, for sure.
[00:32:38] Speaker B: I think this is going to be a killer fight. I think Tom Aspinall gets the victory.
I'm leaning towards first round KO. I think one of these guys are going to get KO for sure.
But I think AspinaL. I'm going Aspinal, but I don't know what's going to happen. Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised anything.
[00:32:56] Speaker A: I have to agree with you there. I think Tom Aspinal is going to win the fight. I think he's going to be the interim heavyweight champion. And I think it's going to start, at least the narrative that Jon Jones is going to have to fight him to come back.
And that's what I'm excited for, because at the beginning, we didn't have to have that fight, but I want the narrative to be that we have to have that fight. I want to see Tom Aspen all fight John Jones.
[00:33:25] Speaker B: Me, too.
[00:33:25] Speaker A: Not for the interim title, because Tom.
[00:33:27] Speaker B: Aspinalle, he's a jiu jitsu guy, right?
[00:33:30] Speaker A: So let's go. You want to train with Gordon Ryan? We can go. That's what I want Tom Aspen all to do. I want them to have a real fight in the heavyweight division. But he has to go through Sergey Pak Pavlovich to get there, which is not going to be an easy.
[00:33:44] Speaker B: No guarantee he does.
[00:33:45] Speaker A: I still think Tom Aspinall wins. So lock those in if you feel necessary. It's a very slight oDs. It's -120 for Aspinal and plus 100 for Sergey.
[00:33:55] Speaker B: Yeah, it's pretty much a pick them, right?
[00:33:57] Speaker A: Moving on to the main event, the light heavyweight title fight.
The fight of the Totems, if you will.
[00:34:05] Speaker B: The Easter island head versus the Japanese samurai, the Avatar.
[00:34:11] Speaker A: I don't even know what you would call Yuri, but he's just scary. Terrifying guys.
[00:34:15] Speaker B: Pretty scary guys. Both very talented guys. Yuri coming his last fight, and he won the title. You forget about that because he got injured, right? He hasn't fought since then. He gave up the title because he knew he was going to be out a year. Plus, it's like, this is the dude that won a belt, and then he.
[00:34:30] Speaker A: Technically, like, he never.
[00:34:32] Speaker B: Yeah, yeah.
[00:34:34] Speaker A: So I get it.
[00:34:34] Speaker B: And he's taking on Pereira, trying to become a double champ.
[00:34:37] Speaker A: Pereira is just a monster in his own right. Look, between the two of these guys, they have five total career losses.
Nuts. It's Crazy Pereira.
[00:34:48] Speaker B: And you know what's another thing I saw that was Crazy Yuri. This is only his fourth UFC fight, right? He's three. AND O in the UFC. I was about to third. One was the fucking title fight combined.
[00:34:58] Speaker A: These guys have fought, like, seven UFC.
[00:35:00] Speaker B: Remember when he fought Reyes?
[00:35:03] Speaker A: Yeah. Dominic Reyes.
[00:35:04] Speaker B: And he's just destroyed second UFC fight.
[00:35:07] Speaker A: Absolutely. Look, Prohaska hasn't lost since 2015.
[00:35:11] Speaker B: Yeah. I mean, if you watch his fight.
[00:35:15] Speaker A: He'S only had one tech decision victory in that time.
[00:35:18] Speaker B: Orthodox. But, dude, he rocks, people.
[00:35:20] Speaker A: He's only had one decision victory since 2015. So he's finished every fight since 2015.
[00:35:26] Speaker B: He's got to be like, crazy punch power, like, unbelievable. But he's also fighting a guy that literally this week got inducted into the glory Kickboxing hall of Fame, Alex Pereira.
[00:35:37] Speaker A: UFC fights. Pereira has fought three UFC champions.
[00:35:42] Speaker B: Yeah, he fought Adesanya twice, and then he Strickland.
[00:35:46] Speaker A: And who was his most recent one?
[00:35:49] Speaker B: Oh, Yan Bohovich.
[00:35:51] Speaker A: So four, if you want to count Izzy twice.
[00:35:53] Speaker B: Yeah, I mean, that's an impressive three different UFC champions. And he's beat them all.
[00:35:56] Speaker A: UFC fights.
[00:35:57] Speaker B: And he's beat them all.
[00:35:58] Speaker A: And he's beat them all.
[00:35:59] Speaker B: He did lose to one of them, but he also beat that guy.
[00:36:02] Speaker A: Five and one in the UFC, two wins without a finish. This is Battle of the Warriors. He's totem Warriors.
[00:36:08] Speaker B: Pure striker. Maybe in MMA, but definitely in this.
[00:36:12] Speaker A: The thing is, when you see him fight, he looks like he's not putting forth any effort. So it doesn't look like he's as powerful as he is, but he's knocking.
[00:36:20] Speaker B: I don't know, man. He looks pretty fucking powerful. He looks like a scary guy. He does the UFC today, but because it's so effortless, they posted him knocking Sean Strickland out in like 75 angles. Angles. I didn't even know this was an angle.
Shots. Who do I think is going to win? I think either guy can win. Obviously, you're talking about this kind of power.
[00:36:41] Speaker A: Same kind of ODs, a pick him. 110 and minus one.
[00:36:44] Speaker B: I like both guys a lot, but I think I like Alex Potan Pereira a little more. There's something about him. I'm a fan of him. He's one of my favorite fighters currently fighting right now. I like Yuri, too. I'm not going to be mad if he gets a dub, But I think I'm going to go. Alex Perea.
[00:36:59] Speaker A: I got to go with Yuri. I think Prohask is going to win. I think he's going to get the title, keep the title, whatever you want to call it. I think he's got what it takes, and I don't think we have to worry about that.
[00:37:16] Speaker B: Blue 42. Say hut. Let's jump into a little football. We're going to start with some NCAA and arguably the game of the week for some reason. It's starting at 11:00 a.m. Central time. It's the number three, Michigan Wolverines.
[00:37:31] Speaker A: They're number two now.
[00:37:32] Speaker B: Number two, Michigan Wolverines taking on, I believe, number ten, Penn State. Number nine, Big Ten West. I'm sorry, Big Ten. East Matchup Michigan. There's a lot of noise around the program right now with this so called cheating scandal. Honestly, I'm on their side. That's not cheating. That's just scouting, I believe. But we're not getting into that. They're taking on Penn State.
[00:37:54] Speaker A: Who?
[00:37:55] Speaker B: Great football team.
[00:37:56] Speaker A: You ain't cheating, you ain't trying in my opinion.
[00:37:58] Speaker B: I follow that same opinion. But Penn State comes in their team with James Franklin. They've been good for a little while.
[00:38:04] Speaker A: But thought you're about to say James Franco. I was like, really? That is nuts.
[00:38:08] Speaker B: The head coach. But as these James Franklin teams come to be, it seems like they lose the big games. They lost to Ohio State this year.
It is in Penn State. I think it's going to be a tough game for Michigan, but I think the Wolverines are one of the best teams in the country. I think all this scandal talk has made them closer.
[00:38:29] Speaker A: Maybe.
[00:38:29] Speaker B: I don't think they like the noise. I think they're going to try to prove the haters wrong. I think they go in to Happy Valley Beaver Stadium. I think they beat Penn State.
[00:38:38] Speaker A: So last week Penn State held Maryland to negative 49 rushing yards, 51 points.
[00:38:45] Speaker B: But that's because in college, sacks count against the rushing yards. It's pretty cool. Kind of skewed a bunch of sacks.
[00:38:51] Speaker A: Now, Michigan led in the air last week with 335 passing yards and Blake Coram scoring three rushing touchdowns.
[00:38:59] Speaker B: There's a two time defending Big Ten champs. They look like it's going to be between them and Ohio State.
[00:39:04] Speaker A: Both good offenses so far through the season and they both have good defenses. Like Michigan quarterback only dropped it to Ohio State.
[00:39:12] Speaker B: Yeah, they're only lost.
[00:39:13] Speaker A: Michigan is nine and Michigan's favored by four and a half with an over under of 45 and a half. Who do you think wins?
[00:39:22] Speaker B: I said it before, Michigan gets the win. I think they're one of the best teams in the country.
They've won the Big Ten two times in a row. I think they're going to win it a third time. And I think the scandal talk. They're trying to discredit what this team's done the past couple of years that's going to make these guys closer. I think they come in and they.
[00:39:38] Speaker A: More of a tight knit group.
[00:39:39] Speaker B: Tight knit group.
[00:39:40] Speaker A: I wasn't even thinking about the scandal whenever I was picking them, but I was picking them just because I thought they were the better team.
[00:39:46] Speaker B: Yeah, that is also true. They are the better team.
[00:39:49] Speaker A: Moving on to the number 18 Utah Utes. They're seven and two. They're not fighting. They're playing the number five Washington Huskies, who are nine and O.
[00:40:00] Speaker B: So Washington, just like Michigan, is a team that is vying for a top four playoff spot. This is a huge game because one loss pretty much ends that for them. And look, they're taking on a good Utah team, a team that's lost a couple of games, but they're a tough team. They've won the PaC twelve two years in a row. So they have experience.
[00:40:18] Speaker A: I think the biggest problem with the Utah Utes this season is they haven't had the best passing offense.
[00:40:24] Speaker B: Well, they've been missing their cam rising for most of the year.
[00:40:27] Speaker A: Right. They've just been kind of playing injured and they've had to play injured with kind of no timetable for return, which they've only lost two games. Props to them. But I think Washington is going to go ten and I think they're going to win. I think Michael Pinix Jr. Is going to lead them to a very good win. I think the nine and a half point line is probably accurate.
[00:40:49] Speaker B: I got Washington, too. They seem to be a team that when they play the big teams, the good teams, the ranked teams, they play their best games. I mean, they've got some games against bad teams, but when they play the best teams, they show out. They beat USC by ten points last weekend.
[00:41:03] Speaker A: Right now, that was a big 52 to 42 victory. That was a big, big game showing that their offense could compete.
[00:41:08] Speaker B: Yeah, he outduled Caleb Williams. Right, Michael Pinnocks.
[00:41:12] Speaker A: And he didn't have to do it all by himself. Of course. He threw two in the air. He got one on the ground, but all the receivers helped out with that as well.
[00:41:18] Speaker B: All right, so the next one we're taking a look at is the Big SEC east matchup. The Missouri Tigers coming in seven and two, taking on Tennessee Volunteers, who I believe are also seven and two.
[00:41:28] Speaker A: Seven and two. Seven and two. The volunteers are ranked 14 and the Tigers are ranked 16. So it's a close ranked match.
[00:41:34] Speaker B: I like this Missouri team a lot. They played LSU. LSU did beat them, but they put up a good fight and they put up a lot of points on LSU's defense.
Missouri, they gave Georgia a tough fight.
[00:41:44] Speaker A: Last weekend, and it was an expected loss.
[00:41:47] Speaker B: It was an expected loss, and they were in the game in the fourth quarter. Then Georgia kind of pulled away as.
[00:41:51] Speaker A: They do Tennessee bowls off a big win.
[00:41:55] Speaker B: They're off of a big win, but this Tennessee team's kind of third in.
[00:42:00] Speaker A: The nation on the run. Brother.
[00:42:01] Speaker B: We don't know how good they are, though, against the good teams. They don't always perform the best.
[00:42:05] Speaker A: You're right.
[00:42:06] Speaker B: I don't want to say it's a rivalry game because they haven't played that much like in the past, besides the past like ten years because Missouri is newer to the conference. This is a Big SEC east game. I think it's going to show the second best team in the SEC east because Georgia is running away with that.
[00:42:20] Speaker A: Yeah, I think it's a very important game for both of them.
[00:42:22] Speaker B: For sure. It is for teams trying to build their program and be sustainable. I like Missouri. I like their quarterback cook.
I like what Missouri's putting down the last few weekends even though they lost to Georgia. I got the Missouri Tigers getting the dub.
[00:42:38] Speaker A: So look, I like these lines. Tennessee Moneyline -110 Missouri Moneyline -110 Tennessee favored minus one at Missouri with an over under 58 and a half. I think Tennessee is going to go to Missouri and win, but it's going to be an ugly game. They're going to need that confidence when they go to play Georgia next week, and I think that's really what's going to pull them together to win, knowing that they have an even tougher matchup on the horizon. They have to play their best the next few weeks to even stand a chance to win this game. So I picked Tennessee.
[00:43:13] Speaker B: So we differ on that one. But speaking of Georgia, they're playing maybe the other biggest game of the weekend. Contends with Michigan, Penn State. It's the number one or number two, whatever poll you look at. Georgia Bulldogs taking on. Number eleven Ole Miss. Big time game. Ole Miss still technically is alive for the SEC west title.
They need Alabama to lose twice, but they're still alive. They're having a great year and they're taking on the Georgia Bulldogs, who seem to be a team that plays to their opponents.
They've had some close games, but you never really doubt that they're going to win the games against Auburn, you would say against Missouri. Close games, right.
I think Georgia is a team that plays their opponent, and I think they have a team that's ranked pretty high coming in to Athens this weekend, and I think the Bulldogs are going to come perform one of their best games of the year. I like Ole Miss, but I think George is a better team and I think when they're performing their best, they're probably like 14 to 17 points better than Ole Miss.
[00:44:13] Speaker A: Yeah, look, Ole Miss, I actually just looked down to realize Ole Miss is actually ranked ten now. So top ten matchup. This has very big implications for both.
I read online here a win would lock up an SEC title game for Georgia.
[00:44:27] Speaker B: Yeah, I mean, it's pretty much guaranteed anyway.
[00:44:29] Speaker A: But yeah, that's great. But a win for Ole Miss will do everything to keep their playoff hopes alive as it is. So it's a very important game for both schools for just kind of different reasons. But like you said, Ole Miss has been playing great all season. They're eight and one. Georgia's favored by ten and a half with an over under a 58 and a half.
I think they're still going to win because throughout the whole season, Georgia has only allowed 15 points average per game. And through and through, Ole Miss has just done a little bit worse. 23 points per game allowed. I think those kind of things where they're both high powered offenses, both scoring about the same, I think in a shootout situation, I think Georgia is going to win and I think that's what we have here.
[00:45:17] Speaker B: All right. And the last game we're going to cover for college football is the Oregon.
[00:45:20] Speaker A: Ducks versus the non ranked Trojans.
[00:45:24] Speaker B: USC Trojans. USC accepted their third loss this weekend to Washington. The Washington Huskies.
I mean, Oregon's the big favorite. They're at home. They've been playing great. Something tells me, though, USC is going to come out and play pretty good. I think USC keeps it very close. I think that offense and having Caleb Williams on your team and some of the receivers they have, they're always going to be in any games. They just need Oregon to make a couple mistakes.
But saying that, I think the Ducks let the Trojans hang in there for most of the game, but I think Oregon pulls away towards the end. I think it's going to be a little closer than the experts think. But I got the Ducks.
[00:46:05] Speaker A: Yeah. Oregon favored by 15 and a half here is kind of crazy just because Caleb Williams can score in any situation. I feel like, I mean, he's proven that he could lose games.
[00:46:18] Speaker B: I'm going to say it's going to be close enough. But the Ducks win by like 1012.
[00:46:22] Speaker A: 1012, something like that. Maybe even 14. They can win by two touchdowns and still cover the line. Yeah, I think.
[00:46:29] Speaker B: And not cover the line.
[00:46:30] Speaker A: Yeah, they won't cover the line. Right over under 73 and a half last week they had the USC and Washington had the over under of 76 and a half and it was a 94 point gAme. Oregon's favored on the money line -800 so huge, huge odds for Oregon to win this game. I agree with you. I think Oregon is going to win, but it's going to be a big battle between Caleb Williams and Bo Nicks, huge, high powered offenses. And I think you can also sprinkle in some Marshall and Lloyd, the number one yards per rush leader in college football, to help out with an obvious high scoring game that's about to happen. I think, like you said, Oregon wins and keeps the Trojans unranked.
[00:47:12] Speaker B: So it looks like we mostly agree except for one college game. So let's move on to the pros. First professional game, NFL game We're going to cover is a big NFC north matchup. The Cleveland Browns, five and three, taking on the seven and two. Maybe the team nobody's talking about for some reason. The Baltimore Ravens, seven and two.
[00:47:29] Speaker A: Yeah, absolutely.
[00:47:30] Speaker B: I mean, Lamar Jackson, he's not putting.
[00:47:32] Speaker A: Up great passing stats or whatever, but he doesn't need to.
[00:47:37] Speaker B: He doesn't need to. He's playing efficient. He's playing the best. Yeah. Most efficient he's probably ever played. I really like this Ravens team, honestly. The Browns are kind of hit or miss. They're very talented, but I don't think they have the coaching and like the, and look, the team set up as the Ravens.
[00:47:52] Speaker A: The Ravens. At the beginning of the season, it looked like they were already destined to have problems. They lost a running back early. Another ACL problem, I believe.
Lamar Jackson.
[00:48:03] Speaker B: JK Dobbins.
[00:48:04] Speaker A: Yeah. JK Dobbins. Yeah.
[00:48:06] Speaker B: Achilles, same as Aaron Rodgers. Because he said they were rehabbing together, right?
[00:48:11] Speaker A: There you go. Last week, Lamar Jackson didn't have to do much. He held the game, used the rushing attack from Gus Edwards to put a few scores on the board. They beat Seattle 37 to three, absolutely demolishing them. But on the other side for the Cleveland Browns, Deshaun Watson played like he was worth the $200 million they paid him.
[00:48:31] Speaker B: I mean, it's about time, right?
[00:48:33] Speaker A: They need him to be back. But look, he did have that back injury a few weeks back, so maybe if he's rehabbed and he's back to 100%, we may be seeing a very good game with this. I think the Ravens are going to win. They are favored minus six on the line with only an over under of 37 and a half. I think that's kind of weird, seeing as Seattle put up 37 alone last week without any scores through the air.
So I'd be interested to see if this actually hits the under or the over. I think the Ravens win.
[00:49:03] Speaker B: All right, so the next game we're going to cover is, I don't think anybody looking at the schedule, preseason would think the Jaguars would come into this game in week nine. I believe we're in right, having a better record than the 49 ERs. Jaguars six and 249 ERs, five and three.
[00:49:18] Speaker A: It's crazy, but the 49 ERs are still favored, minus three.
[00:49:22] Speaker B: Favored despite their going across the country to Jacksonville. No respect for the Jaguars, six and two. God hates hosting the, God hates the Jacksonville Jags. Trust me.
[00:49:33] Speaker A: Over under 46, San Francisco, favored -160 on the line, plus 135.
[00:49:39] Speaker B: I just don't think the 49 ERs, they lost two in a row went to the by week or three in a row. Three in a row went to the by week. I don't think there's a way they lose four in a row after a by week.
[00:49:47] Speaker A: Debo sample should be back.
[00:49:49] Speaker B: Yeah. Debo coming back. I like the Jags, honestly, but something's telling me the 49 ERs are going to be up for this game. I think the Niners get a dub.
[00:49:57] Speaker A: It's also weird to think the Jags were also coming off a buy, but while they're good, we're not really hearing a lot from them. I didn't even remember that they were on the buy until I looked it.
[00:50:07] Speaker B: Up, but I think that's a good thing if you're winning and you're kind of under the radar at this point in the season.
[00:50:12] Speaker A: Yeah, absolutely.
I'd like to see if it settled the buy for both of them. Did it cool off the Jags because they've had three or four wins in a row now and did it kind of give the 49 ERs a chance to regroup? Yeah, reset, regroup. I think the buy is going to be helpful for both teams. Healthing them up, get them a little bit stronger. So I think it's going to be a good matchup. I think the 49 ERs win. You said that as well, right?
[00:50:37] Speaker B: Yeah, I picked 49 Ers. Go ahead and helping them up.
[00:50:42] Speaker A: Healthing them up, man.
[00:50:43] Speaker B: Healthing them up.
[00:50:43] Speaker A: All right, next on we have the.
[00:50:45] Speaker B: Houston Texans, maybe definitely offensive Rookie of the Year favorite. You can pretty much give him the thing now, but he's honestly in the MVP race.
[00:50:54] Speaker A: CJ Strat, I got a question.
[00:50:56] Speaker B: The way he's playing for the Texans.
[00:50:57] Speaker A: Is Eli Apple still on the Bengals?
[00:50:59] Speaker B: No, he plays with somebody else.
[00:51:00] Speaker A: Okay, so we're good. We should be good.
[00:51:02] Speaker B: The Texans taking on the Bengals. Bengals, finally. Thank the dear Lord.
[00:51:07] Speaker A: What are they, five and three now?
[00:51:08] Speaker B: Five and three. They turned it on after the horrible start. Joe Burrow right now, back to being one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.
[00:51:14] Speaker A: Calf injury must have been lingering on for longer than wanted to say. Bengals on this game are favored by six and a half points with an over under 48 points.
[00:51:23] Speaker B: Yeah, I think the Bengals found their groove. I think they're back to being one of the best teams in the NFL.
[00:51:27] Speaker A: Jamar Chase has a back injury, though, so he's day to day questionable.
[00:51:31] Speaker B: Well, I do like the Texans. I like what they're doing right now. CJ Stroud, I'm loving it.
[00:51:35] Speaker A: Is that like a burger McDonald's? CJ Stroud I'm loving it.
[00:51:41] Speaker B: Good try, but I think the Bengals at home, I think Joe Burrow is going to be too much. I think it's going to be a higher scoring game. But I think the Bengals get the dub.
[00:51:50] Speaker A: I think even with the Jamar Chase back injury, even if he's out this week, I think Joe Burrow has enough options on the team now that he trust know kind of get the win when he's comfortable and when he's not injured, healthing him up as know get him all those victories that he can get. Think the Bengals win here.
[00:52:11] Speaker B: All right, so the next two games we're going to cover, I'm kind of wondering these might be the two worst NFL games we've covered on here. But regardless, we're going to power through.
[00:52:21] Speaker A: I like Sam Howell.
[00:52:22] Speaker B: We're going to do the Washington Commanders. I don't like ginormous five taking on. What's the Seahawks record? Five and four.
[00:52:28] Speaker A: Six and five and three.
[00:52:29] Speaker B: Five and three. Commander, Seahawks.
I think this is a game a total of 13 people are going to watch.
[00:52:36] Speaker A: I guess I'll be one of them now that we are covering it.
[00:52:39] Speaker B: Yeah, I think the Commanders have a good defense, but man, they just traded away a lot of their good defensive linemen, so I don't know how they're going to hold up against the Seahawks.
[00:52:49] Speaker A: The tanking didn't work last week, though for the Commanders. They still beat the Patriots 20 to 17.
[00:52:56] Speaker B: They look good against the Patriots, not hard. I just think the Seahawks at home, commanders coming cross country. Seahawks are one of those teams. I don't know how Seahawks and Gino Smith, he's going to get you nine or ten wins with the Seahawks. It seems like this team.
[00:53:12] Speaker A: Yeah, it's weird.
[00:53:13] Speaker B: They're going to lose some games they shouldn't lose, but they're going to be a lot of teams that should beat.
[00:53:17] Speaker A: And they're going to compete when they have no business competing as well.
[00:53:21] Speaker B: Exactly right. So I think the Seahawks are going to get the dub.
[00:53:24] Speaker A: I agree.
[00:53:26] Speaker B: And then we talked about that this might be the worst game we're ever going to.
[00:53:32] Speaker A: Maybe, maybe wait until our teams are just really bad and they're playing each.
[00:53:37] Speaker B: Other with the way these offenses are playing right now. The Oakland Raiders, Las Vegas Raiders. Vegas Raiders.
[00:53:43] Speaker A: I'm sorry, they're playing like the Oakland Raiders. Actually.
[00:53:46] Speaker B: They did win their last game once.
[00:53:48] Speaker A: They fired the coach 27 to zero over the Cardinals, who traded away their quarterback before their other quarterback came off of IR.
[00:53:56] Speaker B: And they're taking on the jets, who almost got shut out.
As much progress as Zach Wilson had made, and they had won three in a row this last game against the Chargers this past weekend, he looked like he regressed even more than worse than he was before.
[00:54:09] Speaker A: Like before the end of last season. Yeah. So I think this, for the rest of the jets season, every game is a must win.
That's it.
[00:54:18] Speaker B: They just got to stay in the playoff hunt. So when Aaron Rogers can come back.
[00:54:21] Speaker A: Apparently, I saw on the internet today he can come bAck. He feels as though he's going to be able to start practicing in the next like three weeks or some bullshit.
[00:54:28] Speaker B: Wouldn't go that far. But he is walking without crutches, which is nuts.
[00:54:31] Speaker A: Chunking the ball down the field. Yeah.
[00:54:33] Speaker B: Throwing the ball like 40 yards already.
[00:54:35] Speaker A: So Zach Wilson underperformed, like you said.
[00:54:38] Speaker B: But I think Zach Wilson, he's a survivor. I think he's a guy. He's going to underperform. The last time, everybody was like, dude, you got to get him out. He came out against the Chiefs, played.
[00:54:46] Speaker A: Pretty well, and who else do they have at this point? They just kind of got to wait.
[00:54:50] Speaker B: Yeah, they banked everything on Aaron Rodgers likes him. So it's like, we don't want to piss Aaron off before he even plays for us.
[00:54:58] Speaker A: Right.
[00:54:58] Speaker B: So might as well keep him in. I think Zach Wilson performs well in this game. He's taken on. I think O'Connell is the starting quarterback.
[00:55:04] Speaker A: The Raiders benched Jimmy G and fired their entire staff. I mean, damn near.
I get it.
[00:55:11] Speaker B: Did you hear the story about.
[00:55:13] Speaker A: Oh, I did. Josh McDaniel.
[00:55:15] Speaker B: They had a team meeting and the team started shitting on Josh McDaniel. But then Antonio Pierce stood up and gave a speech where he was talking about how that they need to come together like he did with the Giants when they beat the Patriots when they were undefeated. Well, Josh McDaniels is the offensive.
He, even though Antonio Pierce calmed everything down. Brought the team together, helped him out. He got mad that Antonio Pierce talked shit on the Patriots. They got into a thing. Mark Davis, the owner, found out and said, no, that's some loser ass shit. Get out of here. Josh McDaniels, Antonio Pierce, you're the interim coach now, and you have a chance to be the new head coach.
[00:55:52] Speaker A: I like it.
[00:55:53] Speaker B: I like it, too.
[00:55:55] Speaker A: But I picked the Raiders.
[00:55:57] Speaker B: I got the Jets. I like Robert Salah. I like their defense. As I said, I think Zach Wilson steps up.
[00:56:03] Speaker A: Here's my narrative.
[00:56:04] Speaker B: Becomes not the worst quarterback.
[00:56:06] Speaker A: My narrative is Devontae Adams, former number one wide receiver in the NFL, still great.
Made a bad decision going to the Raiders.
[00:56:17] Speaker B: HE made a bad decision just leaving Aaron Rodgers. Yes.
[00:56:19] Speaker A: Yeah. Hindsight, it's a bitch sometimes.
[00:56:22] Speaker B: You know, he was going there because he's best friends with Derek Carr, right?
[00:56:25] Speaker A: And then Derek Carr dipped. Right. But here's the thing.
Because DeVontae Adams didn't score any points, fantasy yards, anything the past few weeks.
This week he's going to be on fire. That's why I picked the Raiders over the Jets. I think it's going to just be one of those matchups. Raiders at home. I think that's what it takes.
[00:56:50] Speaker B: I like that we have a few picks that are off from each other.
[00:57:00] Speaker A: All right, now for stakes and takes, the betting segment where we recap and give you our best advice for this week's matchups. First, we have some cancellations that there were. We had Vieira versus Petrosian that was canceled day before the fight. Night before the fight. Whatever or day of the fight that.
[00:57:20] Speaker B: Was day was night before, night before.
[00:57:23] Speaker A: Then Bonifam versus Pichel Peachel canceled due to weight loss.
UFC for picks are takes.
[00:57:32] Speaker B: We only had four to choose from.
[00:57:34] Speaker A: This week because four to choose from. I went one and it.
[00:57:39] Speaker B: I went three and one.
[00:57:40] Speaker A: Yeah, it's pretty bad.
I had some takes that weren't that good takes. I did win the NASA Mento fight. Obviously you did, too.
[00:57:48] Speaker B: My only loss was Bonfam and Dalby. Bonfam woman.
[00:57:52] Speaker A: That was a big upset. I had Magomedov as a loss. I do have a new theory, though that I'm crafting, so I think I'll be fine moving forward. And then Derek Lewis is a loss.
In college I went three and two, so a little bit better.
[00:58:06] Speaker B: I went four and one in college. My only loss, though was I wish I would have went one and four and got LSU. Right? Because my only loss was LSU losing Alabama.
[00:58:15] Speaker A: I got Ole Miss right. I got Georgia right. I got Washington right. Got LSU and Kansas State wrong.
[00:58:21] Speaker B: Yeah, that Kansas State Texas game was crazy.
[00:58:25] Speaker A: I got that Kansas State sweater.
[00:58:27] Speaker B: Texas jumped out. They were like 27 to zero. Then Kansas State came all the way back.
[00:58:30] Speaker A: Yeah. And lost 38 to 35 or something like that.
[00:58:33] Speaker B: That's crazy. 38 33.
[00:58:34] Speaker A: It was nuts. NFL. I did another three and two.
[00:58:38] Speaker B: I did another four and one.
[00:58:40] Speaker A: Damn, dude.
[00:58:41] Speaker B: I know. My only loss was the Rams.
[00:58:43] Speaker A: That's awesome.
[00:58:43] Speaker B: They got the ass beat. I shouldn't have picked them, but.
[00:58:46] Speaker A: Right. We thought the packers were just that much worse.
[00:58:48] Speaker B: Yeah, the packers came out and played well.
[00:58:50] Speaker A: Chiefs, Ravens, Bengals. What's the other one you got right?
[00:58:54] Speaker B: Chiefs, Ravens, Bengals.
[00:58:56] Speaker A: Eagles, Eagles. I got the Cowboys wrong and the Rams wrong.
[00:59:01] Speaker B: That brought me to eleven and three this week. So I had a very good week picking, and I really needed that, man.
[00:59:07] Speaker A: I went, what, like seven and seven?
Jeez.
[00:59:12] Speaker B: Seven and seven.
[00:59:13] Speaker A: Oof. Yeah, that's not good. At least it was even. I didn't go well. All right, for stakes, I went two two, and I went a little bit on the favor side for bets one with the Kansas City money line and Cincinnati Moneyline. Cincinnati Bengals. That'll be, I guess I should say the Bengals because Cincinnati could be at college.
[00:59:31] Speaker B: Yes.
[00:59:32] Speaker A: Kansas State and LSU are my losses. And then I got canceled. Petrosian money line, like probably twelve minutes before the fight started.
[00:59:41] Speaker B: Yeah. I also had two wins and bets, which were my two NFL bets. Eagles and Ravens money lines.
[00:59:46] Speaker A: Nice.
[00:59:47] Speaker B: But I went two and three. I didn't have a cancellation. I did have the Bonfam brother parlay. One of them got canceled, but then the other, I was hoping that would save me.
[00:59:56] Speaker A: Right, kind of give you a pass on a free win.
[00:59:59] Speaker B: Pretty much. But Bonfam got. He lost fair and square. The other Bonfam brother. So I count that as a loss. Also had the under Amita Lewis, which I thought was a safe bet.
[01:00:09] Speaker A: Brother, the only under you had on that fight was Derek Lewis underneath Jolton Almeida.
[01:00:14] Speaker B: Yeah. Went the distance over two and a half rounds. I lost that one. And then, as I said, the LSU money line, that's the one that hurts the most. Yeah.
[01:00:21] Speaker A: Just kind of brush over that. We don't want to talk about that anymore.
[01:00:24] Speaker B: So two and three in bets for me.
[01:00:25] Speaker A: Okay, so look, that brings up the season standings. We're going to talk about stakes first. I am now 43 35 and three. Christian, you are 44 36 and one. Finally taking edging me.
[01:00:44] Speaker B: I'm not edging you.
[01:00:46] Speaker A: Well, you know, what? I mean, maybe, um, yes, you.
[01:00:51] Speaker B: You. No, thanks.
[01:00:53] Speaker A: You got over me.
[01:00:54] Speaker B: You.
[01:00:54] Speaker A: You came over me.
How do you say that? You beat me. You beat me off the top.
I don't know. But yeah, you got me on the stakes right now. I'm going to come back and I'm going to beat you back off the top. So you don't have to worry about that. And then for takes 100 and 764 and four for myself and Christian, you're at 100 and 864. And three with AI right behind us are actually kind of ahead of us if you think about percentages. But 60, 31 and four still just kind of holding true. Had a bad week for AI, 77 and two, so kind of good for them. But yeah, you kind of have me in both categories right now, so I need to get my head out of my ass. And I have some good picks this week. Some good stakes this week.
[01:01:43] Speaker B: What are your MMA bets?
[01:01:44] Speaker A: This week, my MMA bets. I got Benoit St. Denny Moneyline.
[01:01:47] Speaker B: I also have Benoit St. Denny Moneyline.
[01:01:49] Speaker A: So the first time we covered him, I didn't pick him.
[01:01:53] Speaker B: I had him by submission the first time. It was still my biggest bet podcast.
[01:01:56] Speaker A: Yeah, it was like a plus, like plus 240 line. I think it was crazy. I bet against him the first time and I'll never do that again unless he's fighting like my favorite fighter.
I got Benoit Saints, any money line. I also have Jessica Andrade, Mackenzie Dern over.
[01:02:14] Speaker B: That's a good pick.
As I said, I agree with you. I have the St. Denis Moneyline, God of war.
I also have a second MMA Moneyline. And it's Tom Aspinal Money line.
[01:02:26] Speaker A: I like that. That was like a -110 is it.
[01:02:29] Speaker B: Pretty much toss up, which I'll take that for Aspinal. I think it's going to be a good fight.
So, yeah, nice.
[01:02:34] Speaker A: I only have one college bet.
[01:02:36] Speaker B: How many do you still have? One college bet.
[01:02:38] Speaker A: I got the voles money line.
[01:02:40] Speaker B: Vols.
[01:02:40] Speaker A: The Tennessee Volunteers.
[01:02:42] Speaker B: Volunteers. The volunteers.
[01:02:44] Speaker A: I don't know why they call them the voles. The Vols, the balls.
[01:02:48] Speaker B: You're saying it wrong.
[01:02:49] Speaker A: It's all wrong. They're the volunteers. That's a shitty mass. Never mind. Let's not even get into that. I picked the Tennessee MOneyline. It's where I was born. Let's go Tennessee.
[01:03:00] Speaker B: I think Tennessee loses, but regardless, my bet is the Michigan Moneyline over Penn State.
[01:03:05] Speaker A: All right, I like it.
[01:03:07] Speaker B: I have two NFL money lines and I'm going my tried and true. I think this is the third or fourth time I've picked the Ravens moneyline.
[01:03:13] Speaker A: Hey, look, if it ain't broke, don't fix it, right?
[01:03:16] Speaker B: I think they're like minus like 262, 70 this week, taking the Ravens, and the other one I'm taking is the 49 eRs moneyline at Jacksonville.
[01:03:24] Speaker A: I also have the 49 ers money line. I think they're going to come off the three loss losing streak and then the buy and come back with a good win.
[01:03:34] Speaker B: I agree.
[01:03:35] Speaker A: And with the Seahawks, I think they're going to kind of come back after that 37 to three loss over the Ravens. I think they're going to come back kind of swinging, get back into their groove and get a good win this week. So I got the Seahawks money line.
[01:03:49] Speaker B: So I think that kind of wraps up our picks, picks, bets, everything.
[01:03:53] Speaker A: That'll be everything for stakes and takes this week. I guess it would have been a good idea to fade us last week or fade me last week Picks Wise.
[01:04:03] Speaker B: I mean, bets wise. You did all right.
[01:04:05] Speaker A: Right.
[01:04:05] Speaker B: But, yeah, thanks for listening to this episode of Split Decision. This was our 21st episode, which is a big deal.
[01:04:11] Speaker A: Yeah, we're officially legal. Officially legal.
[01:04:14] Speaker B: Catch us next week. We're going to recap the UFC 295 that we previewed this week and we're going to take a look ahead. The UFC Vegas 82 and we're going to huddle up for a little football.
[01:04:24] Speaker A: Madison Square Garden once hosted a six day bicycle race in 1891 where participants rode continuously, sleeping in makeshift cabins on the track.
Um.